Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 11.169291 13.078145 15.165873 17.612269 20.393561 23.450273 27.056746
2025-07-06 7.582238 10.051890 13.043524 16.903047 21.715662 27.481776 34.871814
2025-07-13 6.205920 9.055252 12.785476 17.953177 24.841576 33.612713 45.514753
2025-07-20 5.252189 8.311532 12.585043 18.860926 27.686833 39.477793 56.203170
2025-07-27 4.452108 7.581824 12.214482 19.375407 29.923168 44.602676 66.216857
2025-08-03 3.744609 6.834220 11.661719 19.483590 31.498421 48.842677 75.237347
2025-08-10 3.086312 6.029320 10.876005 19.091291 32.220743 51.832892 82.604010
2025-08-17 2.543291 5.309932 10.103717 18.586322 32.658359 54.357898 89.376365
2025-08-24 2.094262 4.668970 9.357285 18.004293 32.867910 56.485684 95.615994
2025-08-31 1.696144 4.043385 8.537307 17.175331 32.552422 57.711173 100.469370
2025-09-07 1.516232 3.821274 8.420168 17.561658 34.299383 62.329911 110.937945
2025-09-14 1.351148 3.597836 8.265158 17.849559 35.879129 66.751452 121.318969
2025-09-21 1.126573 3.213742 7.772300 17.513970 36.449969 69.752284 129.972056
2025-09-28 0.902295 2.779621 7.112570 16.782389 36.253064 71.484340 136.746629
2025-10-05 0.843230 2.745668 7.312802 17.821302 39.507171 79.526809 154.897223
2025-10-12 0.780106 2.685549 7.442584 18.722423 42.565984 87.416575 173.247691
2025-10-19 0.700814 2.559982 7.397232 19.233480 44.883436 94.090122 189.812484
2025-10-26 0.611012 2.378860 7.185092 19.340949 46.376275 99.308447 204.031186
2025-11-02 0.512076 2.139485 6.781836 18.951139 46.780344 102.461977 214.611187
2025-11-09 0.424753 1.909351 6.357946 18.449389 46.882646 105.013975 224.185353
2025-11-16 0.349225 1.693432 5.929176 17.871085 46.747507 107.064077 232.893304
2025-11-23 0.279338 1.470886 5.433683 17.047458 45.964561 107.728983 238.928334
2025-11-30 0.251963 1.407802 5.402058 17.431294 48.000233 114.309645 256.928652